PI Cycle Indicator

My Crypto Sherpa

Welcome 👋🏽

Today, I share my most trusted indicator for crypto bull runs.

But before I do, I want you to ask yourself:

“What’s my strategy for this bull run?”

If you haven’t got a plan written down (YES, written) your NGMI.

I’m not saying that to be funny.

Do you know what it feels like to hit a new all-time high (ATH) in net worth every single day for months on end?

Do you know what it feels like to go from 5 figures to 7 figures?

It’s fu***** euphoric.

Do you know what it feels like when the bull run ends and your portfolio value drops $100K in one day?

By then it’s too late.

You won’t sell.

You will tell yourself “I’ll sell as soon as it gets back to my previous ATH”.

You will then hold your bags all the way down to the bottom while the people who sold near the top enjoy their newfound wealth.

I don’t want that for you.

That’s why I shared my strategy 👇🏽

The ULTIMATE Guide for Selling at the Top

I update these charts every single month, so if you’re not already subscribed, hit that red button 👊🏽

---

⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️

The content provided by PROJECT 10X PTY LTD (Filip Brnadic) is for educational purposes only and is not financial or investment advice. PROJECT 10X PTY LTD is not a licensed financial adviser under Australian law.

Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of all funds. Seek independent advice before making any financial decisions.

---

Even with all the tools at my disposal, to say that I still had massive FOMO is an understatement. I almost lost everything. I count my lucky stars I stuck to my strategy and not let my emotions get in the way of my trading.

I’ll tell you how.

On November 28, 2021, I sold all my crypto positions.

ETH was my biggest bag, and I sold it for $4,200 USD.

I couldn't believe it - I had just become a millionaire. The rush was indescribable.

For 2 hours, I felt like I was on top of the world.

Then it happened.

ETH continued to rise….and rise… and rise….

I spent the next 72 hours watching ETH go from ~$4100 to $4800.

I was gutted.

I had just made life-changing money, and all I could think was

I remember thinking to myself

I waited the whole f****** bull run to sell my bags and I sold them right before ETH moons to $10K.

At least, that’s what the moon boys on social media were calling for.

Little did I know, I had sold 3 days before ETH topped out and made its way back to $800 in 2022.

The only thing that stopped me from FOMOing in and buying higher were the tools I shared with you.

Without them, I know for a fact I would have bought higher and held those bags all through the bear market.

That my friends, is trading psychology.

Now that you know the importance of having a plan, I share with you my most trusted indicator.

PI Cycle.

---

WTF is a PI Cycle Indicator? 🤔

It’s a simple technical analysis tool that uses two Moving Averages (MA).

• The 111 day MA (111 MA); and

• 2x multiplication of the 350 day MA (2x350 MA).

The yellow 111 MA is more responsive to price than the white 2x350 MA, as it uses less days to calculate an average.

Simple enough? Onto the good stuff.

Picking Cycle Tops 📈

For most of Bitcoins history, the white 2x350 MA is positioned above the yellow 111 MA.

On the rare occasion where 111 MA crosses above the 2x350MA, it triggers the PI Cycle Top Signal.

This indicator is special because very few tools, if any, have managed to pick the BTC cycle highs like this one.

It has an accuracy of ± ~5 days.

Now, let’s zoom in and see how it performed in prior cycle tops.

2013

PI cycle flashed warning signs on 5th April 2013 ⚠️. BTC topped out 5 days later.

A few months after that, PI cycle warned us again. This time, BTC topped out the next day.

2017

Again, PI cycle flashed warning signs on 16th December 2017. BTC topped out the next day.

2021

Again, PI cycle called for a top on 13th April 2021. BTC topped out the next day.

Picking Cycle Bottoms 📉

It works pretty well for picking bottoms too.

It uses

• The 150 day Exponential MA (150 EMA); and

• 471 MA

The green 150 EMA is more responsive to price than the red 471 MA.

On the rare occasion where 150 EMA crosses below the red 471 MA, it triggers the PI Cycle Bottom Signal.

It has picked the local bottom of BTC with 20% accuracy since inception.

2015

PI Cycle marked the lows at ~$200 per BTC 🤤

2018

In 2018, PI cycle marked the lows at $3K BTC.

What would you give to be able to buy BTC at these prices?

Personally, I’d sell the kids….Just kidding (in case my wife reads this!)

2022

Like clockwork, PI cycle marks near the bottom at $18K BTC. Not too shabby eh?

WAIT! I know what you’re thinking.

Before you start getting excited, this isn’t a money tree. It’s one indicator.

Unless you want to end up working at McDonald’s at 40, I suggest you never use one indicator to “time the market”.

I’ve given you 25+ indicators for timing the top. When enough of them tell you to sell, you sell!

I also have over 30+ indicators to buy the bottom, which is why I was able to allocate 75% of my net worth with confidence at the bottom of the bear market.

But I’ll leave that for another day.

✌🏽

Filip

---

DISCLAIMER:

PROJECT 10X (Filip Brnadic) does not provide individually tailored investment advice. Nor is PROJECT 10X registered to provide investment advice, is not a financial adviser, and is not a broker-dealer.

The material provided is FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. PROJECT 10X is not responsible for any gains or losses that result from your investments. Investing involves a high degree of risk and should be considered only by persons who can afford to sustain a COMPLETE LOSS OF FUNDS.

No statement or expression of opinion, or any other matter herein, directly or indirectly, is an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the securities or financial instruments mentioned.